Saturday recap, final EPL picks and F1 pick

Hi guys,

I had two bets for Saturday and at the end of the day the result was one won and one lost with a small profit. As I expected Fulham and Everton both scored, but my bet for over 3 goals was in danger after the Toffees somehow managed to miss a dozen of clear cut chances throughout the game, but thankfully Fulham were more clinical. Later on the same day West Ham and Man City didn't manage to score any goals, so the bet there was lost. Today I already have a bet on Newcastle (+1 AH), but here are my two final picks for the Premier League and a bonus pick for F1:


Pick 29
Event: QPR - Reading
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Stake: 8/10
Odds: 2.16 @ 188bet
Analysis: The game is very important for both teams as they lie in the bottom three of the table without a win. QPR will most likely miss the likes of Mbia, Zamora and skipper Park due to various reasons and this definitely will reflect their attacking performance. On the other hand, Reading are not scoring a lot away from home and QPR have scored just 7 times since the start of the campaign. Naturally, the defense of the teams are my main concern, but I think the odds for under 2.5 are too good to miss.

Zamora will likely miss the game, which is a big blow for QPR.

Pick 30
Event: West Brom - Southampton
Pick: West Brom to win
Odds: 1.75 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: West Brom started the season with the best defensive home record and managed to keep few clean sheets in the first couple of games. Since then they conceded twice in both of their last two games, but still managed to win one of them. As for the Saints they continue to struggle and seem unable to get results, despite taking part in some of the most entertaining games this season. I think their terrible defense will let them down once again here, since West Brom are expected to have all of their best players available (including skipper Brunt and Shane Long). On the other end of the pitch the solid defense of the home team should be able to do the job too.


Pick 31
Event: F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
Pick: Alonso to finish on the podium
Odds: 1.83 @ Will Hill
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: With Vettel starting from last position, Alonso will be fully motivated to take full advantage and retake the momentum in the Championship title and I think a podium here will do the job. The odds for this happening are quite good, so let's go for it.

Vettel will start last and this is a great chance for Alonso.