Yesterday was truly a great day for me as a gunner and as a punter :) Arsenal won the North London derby with 5:2 once again, which meant my over 3 goals bet was won and despite missing some chances Walcott managed to score right at the end for a tasty win at good odds. Elsewhere, Reading and Everton didn't manage to score more than three goals, but the scoreline of 2:1 was enough to push to push the over 3 and return my money. The Saints however did not disappoint me and despite the predictions of all kinds of specialist and punters that QPR will win this match, Southampton confirmed my thoughts that the value is on them by winning 3:1 for a very good win at odds of 2.97 :) Great day indeed, but now it is time to think about today. I have some suggestions that might interest you:
Pick 55
Event: Fulham - Sunderland
Pick: Under 2.75 goals
Odds: 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Once again I am going against the opinion of most specialists and tipsters here. There were the astonishing 16 goals in the last three Fulham games in the league and the London side has the second best attack, which should point towards another high scoring game here. However, I feel this will not be the case as their opponents today are a team, that tries to keep it tight and doesn't score much themselves.This applies especially to their away games, so I believe the value is on unders and I am taking the under 2.75, since it offers some kind of insurance.
Pick 56
Event: Formula 1 USA Grand Prix
Pick: Winning margin: 0-5.999 sec
Odds: 2.30 @ Bwin
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: With two races to go, 10 points ahead and starting from pole Vettel looks a massive favorite for the title. Since most of his wins are from pole and with his car looking very well, he should be able to win this race, but the odds for this are too low and I suspect there is a certain space for a surprise from Hamilton. This is the reason why I will try another option here - the win to be with a slim margin of under 6 seconds. The main reason is that I think Vettel will win it, but at the end of the race he will try to eliminate event the slimmest chance of technical problem and even if he is 7,8 or 10 second ahead, he will drive safely in the final laps. Medium stakes bet.
| If anyone can stop Vettel here, Ham is the man. |
Good luck everyone :)
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