Capital One Cup pick

Hi guys,

I am sorry I didn't write in the past few days, but I had a problem with one of my teeth and I had to deal with it. However, I am back now and it is time for a Capital One Cup pick:

Pick 82
Event: Bradford-Arsenal
Pick: Arsenal -1.5 AH
Odds: 2.12 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Arsenal's best chance of trophy this year is exactly the Capital One Cup, since the team already reached the quarter finals and the only team of their calibre left is Chelsea. Arsene Wenger will used a mixed squad once again, but there will be some decent quality in the starting eleven. I expect the likes of Arshavin, Jenkinson and Santos to play as also some other first team players. Despite the fact Bradford had conceded only six in their League 2 games, the difference in class is huge and also if they are down by 1, they would probably open up and try to draw and the fast, hungry Arsenal youngsters can hit them on the counter.


Good luck everyone :)

Bad day in Capital One Cup and an early weekend pick

Hi guys,
The last two days showed me once again why the League Cup, currently called Capital One Cup just can't be trusted. Both Arsenal and Chelsea managed to create plenty of chances, but at the end of the day terrible defending made them chasing results to the very end of their matches. They managed to win at the end, but it was after extra time and that didn't do any good to my bets. Elsewhere Tottenham and Liverpool were surprised by Norwich and Swansea, which made the days even worse. On the good side of things, I was cautious and my stakes were low, so there is no big harm done :) Enough with the Capital One Cup, I have an early bet for the week, and I am putting it so early, cause the odds seem unreal and I don't think they will last:


Pick 26
Event: Liverpool - Newcastle
Pick: Newcastle +1AH
Odds: 1.98 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, I don't have much to say about this game, besides that this is great value. I mean, seriously, almost 2.00 for Newcastle to draw or win, returning the bet if they lose with only one goal? This can't be serious, I think the odds will drop till the game, so go for it while it is there.

Crazy, crazy Arsenal and Capital One Cup day two

Hi guys,

Yesterday's matches in Capital One Cup weren't exactly successful in terms of betting, but being Arsenal fan I can't say I didn't enjoy it, lol. The 7:5 win against Reading was probably one of the most extraordinary games of football I have ever seen in my life. I am literally speechless and I believe I won't forget this game ever.

Theo showed he is worth a new contract.

As for the betting, the day wasn't that good. My bets on Arsenal were lost as also the one on Wigan covering a handicap. However, Leeds managed to beat Southampton which compensates some of the losses and it wasn't that bad after all.
For today I already have a bet on Chelsea (0AH), and I like two more bets with big odds and small stakes:

Pick 24
Event: Norwich - Tottenham
Pick: Draw (Norwich + 1EH)
Odds: 4.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Both teams are expected to field a weakened team for this match as most of Premier League teams do in the competition. I feel it will be a very close game and I can't really find some value in the more common markets. However, I believe Spurs will be able to just win it and I really like the odds for them doing so by one goal margin.

Pick 25
Event: Liverpool - Swansea
Pick: Liverpool - 2EH
Odds: 5.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Well, this bet is based on the improved performance of the Liverpool youngsters recently. They are showing some really good stuff and have been performing very well in the domestic cups for the past two years. Also, Swansea are clearly having issues in defense and that is why I believe they could get trashed here and a small bet on -2 EH is worth a shot.

Best of luck to every one :)

Two final bets on Capital One Cup

Hi guys,

I was thinking about the Arsenal game tonight, reading about the squad and stuff and I have two more picks for this evening. Looking at the odds, I feel small bets on Serge Gnabry and Thomas Eisfeld to score anytime are a good option. Both players have been very impressive in the pre season, in under 21 games and also in the first leg of Capital one cup and I really feel one of them could be on the score sheet tonight. Small stakes for both, here are the details:

Picks 22 and 23
Event: Reading - Arsenal
Pick: Gnabry to score anytime ; Thomas Eisfeld to score anytime
Odds: 4.33 @ 888 sport ; 5.50 @ Skybet
Stake: 3/10 ; 2/10

I feel the two youngsters can score again today.

 Good luck everyone :)

Some more picks for Capital One Cup

Hi guys,

I was looking at the odds for the other Capital One Cup matches and I found some bets I think contain some value. Here are two quick picks for today:

Pick 20
Event: Chelsea - Manchester United
Pick: Chelsea 0 AH
Odds: 1.70 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the emotions in the two teams. After the terrible referee decisions on Sunday Chelsea were left very frustrated and angry. I think they will do their best to revenge and this will give them some extra motivation to win the game.

Terrible performance on Sunday by Clattenburg.

Pick 21
Event: Reading - Arsenal
Pick: Arsenal
Odds: 1.91 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: I was wondering if I should take this bet, but the good Arsenal record in the League Cup and the fact they have won five out of five games against Reading made up my mind. The Gooners will probably have a balanced line up with seniors like Koscielny, Jenkinsons, Coquelin, Arshavin involved as well as some very promising youngsters like Martinez, Eisfeld and Gnabri. On the other hand Reading are really struggling in the Premier League and this should be their top priority.

Weekend recap and Capital One Cup

Hello guys,

After the end of the weekend it is time for a recap. Well, it might seem somewhat arrogant, but with six out of seven bets on EPL won and a very solid profit in the bank, I can say it was a cracking weekend! I sincerely hope someone followed, cause after the good Saturday with three out of four bets won, the Sunday was even better with all three bets coming my way. As I expected it was a cracking Merseyside derby and my bet on both teams to score was won in the middle of the first half. The same happened in the game between Southampton and Spurs with Bale scoring in the 15th minute and winning my unorthodox bet, based on the fact he had a kid :) The only concern was Newcastle, but a lucky goal from Cisse deep in the game meant all bets for the day won :) I wish all weekends were like that and now the stats are getting better and better. After the first 17 bets on this blog the ROI reached the fantastic 133.25%! Of course I do not expect more than 115% in the long term, but who knows :) Enough with the past though, it is time to look in the future and this week we have Capital One Cup:


Pick 18
Event: Leeds - Southampton
Pick: Leeds to win
Odds: 2.62 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: Both teams are not in their best shape recently, but my bet here is based purely on different approach to this cup between lower league teams and Premiership clubs. Leeds will be willing the win more and they managed to beat at home a very good team like Everton in the last round. Southampton, on the other hand, will be thinking mostly about the Premier League, where they are struggling a lot and I am sure the manager Nigel Adkins won't be too bothered about the Capital One Cup. Medium stakes since I don't really like this competition.

I think Adkins will be thinking more about the Premier League.

Pick 19
Event: Wigan - Bradford
Pick: Wigan -1EH
Odds: 1.91 @ 888sport
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: This pick is based purely on the huge difference in class between League 2 and the Premier League and the fact Wigan are better in attack than in defense. I don't think the visitors will be able to put them under pressure, and I expect Wigan to create plenty of chances, so a medium stake here too.

Tomorrow I will post some more picks, good luck everyone :)