Two early Premier League picks

Hi guys,

As I told you last week, I had some problem with my tooth and at the it turned I needed a minor operation to fix it, so I was away for some time. However, I am back and I can see two good early picks for this weekend:

Pick 83
Event: West Brom - Norwich
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.05 @ 188bet
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: Well, West Brom are very solid at home, especially defensively and they manage to keep clean sheets quite often. On the other hand, Norwich are in a very good shape recently and one of the main reasons for that is their discipline and hard work. That makes me think it will be a close game and possibly there won't be too many goals in it.

Pick 84
Event: Chelsea - Aston Villa
Pick: Villa +1.5 AH
Odds: 2.00 @ 188bet
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: Villa are flying right now - they won against Norwich for Capital One, they destroyed Liverpool at Anfield this weekend and in general, the work of Paul Lambert is starting to pay off. On the other hand, Chelsea with Benitez is not too convincing and there will be possibly some tired legs after the World Cup they played recently. That makes me think Villa could take something from this game or at least lose with just a single goal, which suits us with this line.


Good luck everyone :)

English Premier League picks

Hi guys,
My pick on Europa League yesterday brought a tiny loss with Stuttgart somehow managing to lose at home against Molde, but at least the over at Tottenham - Panathinaikos won. This means the week so far is ok, but nothing special, but now it is time for some bets for the forthcoming Premier League matches:

Pick 80
Event: Southampton - Reading
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: The derby between the new boys will take place this Saturday and both teams are currently in the relegation zone. The reason for that is pretty simple - both teams are doing more than ok when it comes to attacking, but are terrible at the back and tend to self destruct on a regular basis. The need for points should mean both teams are determined to go for it the way they can - attacking and trying to score as many as possible. That is why I believe the odds for over 2.5 contain decent value and I am putting max stake.

Pick 81
Event: Swansea - Norwich
Pick: Norwich +0.5AH
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: Many people may seem surprised by that pick, considering the last two games of Swansea - wins against West Brom and Arsenal. However, Norwich are very, very solid recently and rarely lose games. Chris Hughton manages to use Paul Lambert's heritage very well, but also added some of his own ideas and now the club is very good both in defense and offense. I think the visitors have very good chances of taking something from this game and the odds of 2.15 are too good to miss, imo.

This is it for now, but I might put some more bets for Saturday's games later today and I will surely add picks for Sunday. Good luck everyone :)

More Premier League picks

Hi guys,
The odds for my yesterday's pick on Sunderland was going up and down a little bit and currently is at 2.34 at Pinnacle, so you could even get bigger price than me, if you haven't bet yet. Today I have few more suggestions for the forthcoming games:

Pick 69 (good number :))
Event: Swansea - West Brom
Pick: West Brom +0.5 AH
Odds: 1.74 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, there is not much to say about this game - West Brom are flying right now, they are solid at the back, they are very good in attack, they are disciplined, but also play with a lot of passion. In addition to that the manager actually substituted some of his players at the end of the game against Sunderland in order to keep them fresh. On the other hand, Swansea are in a terrible shape and seem unable to get more than a draw against solid teams, even at home. West Brom had some problems away at the start of the season, but now have two wins in a row, so I think the value is on them.

Pick 70
Event: Southampton - Norwich
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.69 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10
Analysis: This is a clash between two teams that started the season on a low, but are now in a great shape. The Saints now have two wins in their last games, while Norwich are unbeaten for quite some time. I think the disciplined team of the visitors will manage to take something from this game, but I don't expect them to manage to win. On the other hand, Southampton is playing well, so the draw here is a pretty logical choice at such high odds. Low to mid stakes though, since betting on a draw is always a risky choice.


Pick 71
Event: Chelsea - Fulham
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Both teams are very generous in terms of conceding and scoring goals despite the fact their games this weekend finished 0:0 and 1:0. This was due to the tough opponents and the terrible weather. Although it is expected to rain again, I really think those two have the potential to have a goal fest on Tuesday. Biggest concern is the possible Benitez effect, but it is still too early about that.

This is it, the previews are shorter today, but I really didn't have the time to be more detailed, good luck everyone :)

English Premier League picks

Hi guys,
Unfortunately, my hot streak of wins ended last night in Europa League, when two of my bets were lost and just one won. My main bet was on Academica and Pilzen to score over 2.5 goals, but both teams managed to score just two both from penalties, while the huge surprise was the goalless draw between Hannover and Twente. That was pretty sick especially considering the fact there were like 4 goals on average in all games of the Germans so far, but this is football. The only good news was the under at the Newcastle - Maritimo game which brought some money back, but overall last night sucked.
No time for regrets though as the weekend is coming and there are some decent bets for the Premier League. I already have few suggestions, here they are:

Pick 65
Event: Everton - Norwich
Pick: Norwich +1 AH
Odds: 2.11 @ 188bet
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This line would've won or pushed in any of the last 6 Everton games, as the team drew four of them, won one with one goal difference and then lost against Reading. This indicates that the great shape of the hosts from the start of the season is starting to fade. Norwich on the other hand is unbeaten in five games in a row, including wins against Manchester United and Arsenal. This wouldn't have been enough for me to bet in normal circumstances, but when you look at the team news you will see Everton will miss Fellainy, Neville and Mirallas and all three are very important for the hosts. As crazy as it may sound I believe Norwich could actually win this game, but I will go for the safe option and go for the Asian Handicap.

Everton's best player Fellainy is out of this match.

Pick 66
Event: Wigan - Reading
Pick: Reading +0.5 AH
Odds: 2.06 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: A derby game between two teams who are just above the relegation zone. Both started the season poorly, but are showing some signs of improvements lately. Reading are the kings of draws as they managed four in six of their last games, but last week they finally managed to win against the strong Everton team. Wigan on the other hand are very inconsistent and are capable of big surprises both in a negative and positive sense. I would say the hosts are a slight favorite to win this match, but the value is on Reading to take something here.


This is it for now, I believe I could place another bet on the Saturday's matches and there surely will be something for Sunday and the F1 finale, so stay tuned. Good luck everyone :)

Crazy, crazy Arsenal and Capital One Cup day two

Hi guys,

Yesterday's matches in Capital One Cup weren't exactly successful in terms of betting, but being Arsenal fan I can't say I didn't enjoy it, lol. The 7:5 win against Reading was probably one of the most extraordinary games of football I have ever seen in my life. I am literally speechless and I believe I won't forget this game ever.

Theo showed he is worth a new contract.

As for the betting, the day wasn't that good. My bets on Arsenal were lost as also the one on Wigan covering a handicap. However, Leeds managed to beat Southampton which compensates some of the losses and it wasn't that bad after all.
For today I already have a bet on Chelsea (0AH), and I like two more bets with big odds and small stakes:

Pick 24
Event: Norwich - Tottenham
Pick: Draw (Norwich + 1EH)
Odds: 4.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Both teams are expected to field a weakened team for this match as most of Premier League teams do in the competition. I feel it will be a very close game and I can't really find some value in the more common markets. However, I believe Spurs will be able to just win it and I really like the odds for them doing so by one goal margin.

Pick 25
Event: Liverpool - Swansea
Pick: Liverpool - 2EH
Odds: 5.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Well, this bet is based on the improved performance of the Liverpool youngsters recently. They are showing some really good stuff and have been performing very well in the domestic cups for the past two years. Also, Swansea are clearly having issues in defense and that is why I believe they could get trashed here and a small bet on -2 EH is worth a shot.

Best of luck to every one :)