Hi guys,
My pick on Europa League yesterday brought a tiny loss with Stuttgart somehow managing to lose at home against Molde, but at least the over at Tottenham - Panathinaikos won. This means the week so far is ok, but nothing special, but now it is time for some bets for the forthcoming Premier League matches:
Pick 80
Event: Southampton - Reading
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: The derby between the new boys will take place this Saturday and both teams are currently in the relegation zone. The reason for that is pretty simple - both teams are doing more than ok when it comes to attacking, but are terrible at the back and tend to self destruct on a regular basis. The need for points should mean both teams are determined to go for it the way they can - attacking and trying to score as many as possible. That is why I believe the odds for over 2.5 contain decent value and I am putting max stake.
Pick 81
Event: Swansea - Norwich
Pick: Norwich +0.5AH
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: Many people may seem surprised by that pick, considering the last two games of Swansea - wins against West Brom and Arsenal. However, Norwich are very, very solid recently and rarely lose games. Chris Hughton manages to use Paul Lambert's heritage very well, but also added some of his own ideas and now the club is very good both in defense and offense. I think the visitors have very good chances of taking something from this game and the odds of 2.15 are too good to miss, imo.
This is it for now, but I might put some more bets for Saturday's games later today and I will surely add picks for Sunday. Good luck everyone :)
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