Hello guys,
Yesterday was a great day for me - my only pre match bet on Dortmund - Hannover was easily won and I also made some good money on live betting. Today I've prepared another Premier League bet for this weekend, so here we go:
Event: Swansea - Manchester United
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 1.98 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: Well, my initial thoughts about this game were that Man Utd will win
convinsingly, cause they have basically full squad, they had a good
amount of time to rest and they should be at full strenght against a
very inconsistent Swansea side. However, the defense of the visitors
still remains a big question mark and if the likes of Reading can score
three against them, I feel it will be pretty tough to keep a clean sheet
against Swansea. This is why I am going for the over 3 line here - the
odds are good and it offers insurance too.
This is it, I could add something else in the recent days, good luck everyone.
Showing posts with label swansea. Show all posts
Showing posts with label swansea. Show all posts
Thursday, December 20, 2012
Friday, December 7, 2012
English Premier League picks
Hi guys,
My pick on Europa League yesterday brought a tiny loss with Stuttgart somehow managing to lose at home against Molde, but at least the over at Tottenham - Panathinaikos won. This means the week so far is ok, but nothing special, but now it is time for some bets for the forthcoming Premier League matches:
Pick 80
Event: Southampton - Reading
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: The derby between the new boys will take place this Saturday and both teams are currently in the relegation zone. The reason for that is pretty simple - both teams are doing more than ok when it comes to attacking, but are terrible at the back and tend to self destruct on a regular basis. The need for points should mean both teams are determined to go for it the way they can - attacking and trying to score as many as possible. That is why I believe the odds for over 2.5 contain decent value and I am putting max stake.
Pick 81
Event: Swansea - Norwich
Pick: Norwich +0.5AH
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: Many people may seem surprised by that pick, considering the last two games of Swansea - wins against West Brom and Arsenal. However, Norwich are very, very solid recently and rarely lose games. Chris Hughton manages to use Paul Lambert's heritage very well, but also added some of his own ideas and now the club is very good both in defense and offense. I think the visitors have very good chances of taking something from this game and the odds of 2.15 are too good to miss, imo.
This is it for now, but I might put some more bets for Saturday's games later today and I will surely add picks for Sunday. Good luck everyone :)
My pick on Europa League yesterday brought a tiny loss with Stuttgart somehow managing to lose at home against Molde, but at least the over at Tottenham - Panathinaikos won. This means the week so far is ok, but nothing special, but now it is time for some bets for the forthcoming Premier League matches:
Pick 80
Event: Southampton - Reading
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: The derby between the new boys will take place this Saturday and both teams are currently in the relegation zone. The reason for that is pretty simple - both teams are doing more than ok when it comes to attacking, but are terrible at the back and tend to self destruct on a regular basis. The need for points should mean both teams are determined to go for it the way they can - attacking and trying to score as many as possible. That is why I believe the odds for over 2.5 contain decent value and I am putting max stake.
Pick 81
Event: Swansea - Norwich
Pick: Norwich +0.5AH
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: Many people may seem surprised by that pick, considering the last two games of Swansea - wins against West Brom and Arsenal. However, Norwich are very, very solid recently and rarely lose games. Chris Hughton manages to use Paul Lambert's heritage very well, but also added some of his own ideas and now the club is very good both in defense and offense. I think the visitors have very good chances of taking something from this game and the odds of 2.15 are too good to miss, imo.
This is it for now, but I might put some more bets for Saturday's games later today and I will surely add picks for Sunday. Good luck everyone :)
Tuesday, November 27, 2012
More Premier League picks
Hi guys,
The odds for my yesterday's pick on Sunderland was going up and down a little bit and currently is at 2.34 at Pinnacle, so you could even get bigger price than me, if you haven't bet yet. Today I have few more suggestions for the forthcoming games:
Pick 69 (good number :))
Event: Swansea - West Brom
Pick: West Brom +0.5 AH
Odds: 1.74 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, there is not much to say about this game - West Brom are flying right now, they are solid at the back, they are very good in attack, they are disciplined, but also play with a lot of passion. In addition to that the manager actually substituted some of his players at the end of the game against Sunderland in order to keep them fresh. On the other hand, Swansea are in a terrible shape and seem unable to get more than a draw against solid teams, even at home. West Brom had some problems away at the start of the season, but now have two wins in a row, so I think the value is on them.
Pick 70
Event: Southampton - Norwich
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.69 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10
Analysis: This is a clash between two teams that started the season on a low, but are now in a great shape. The Saints now have two wins in their last games, while Norwich are unbeaten for quite some time. I think the disciplined team of the visitors will manage to take something from this game, but I don't expect them to manage to win. On the other hand, Southampton is playing well, so the draw here is a pretty logical choice at such high odds. Low to mid stakes though, since betting on a draw is always a risky choice.
Pick 71
Event: Chelsea - Fulham
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Both teams are very generous in terms of conceding and scoring goals despite the fact their games this weekend finished 0:0 and 1:0. This was due to the tough opponents and the terrible weather. Although it is expected to rain again, I really think those two have the potential to have a goal fest on Tuesday. Biggest concern is the possible Benitez effect, but it is still too early about that.
This is it, the previews are shorter today, but I really didn't have the time to be more detailed, good luck everyone :)
The odds for my yesterday's pick on Sunderland was going up and down a little bit and currently is at 2.34 at Pinnacle, so you could even get bigger price than me, if you haven't bet yet. Today I have few more suggestions for the forthcoming games:
Pick 69 (good number :))
Event: Swansea - West Brom
Pick: West Brom +0.5 AH
Odds: 1.74 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, there is not much to say about this game - West Brom are flying right now, they are solid at the back, they are very good in attack, they are disciplined, but also play with a lot of passion. In addition to that the manager actually substituted some of his players at the end of the game against Sunderland in order to keep them fresh. On the other hand, Swansea are in a terrible shape and seem unable to get more than a draw against solid teams, even at home. West Brom had some problems away at the start of the season, but now have two wins in a row, so I think the value is on them.
Pick 70
Event: Southampton - Norwich
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.69 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10
Analysis: This is a clash between two teams that started the season on a low, but are now in a great shape. The Saints now have two wins in their last games, while Norwich are unbeaten for quite some time. I think the disciplined team of the visitors will manage to take something from this game, but I don't expect them to manage to win. On the other hand, Southampton is playing well, so the draw here is a pretty logical choice at such high odds. Low to mid stakes though, since betting on a draw is always a risky choice.
Pick 71
Event: Chelsea - Fulham
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Both teams are very generous in terms of conceding and scoring goals despite the fact their games this weekend finished 0:0 and 1:0. This was due to the tough opponents and the terrible weather. Although it is expected to rain again, I really think those two have the potential to have a goal fest on Tuesday. Biggest concern is the possible Benitez effect, but it is still too early about that.
This is it, the previews are shorter today, but I really didn't have the time to be more detailed, good luck everyone :)
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Crazy, crazy Arsenal and Capital One Cup day two
Hi guys,
Yesterday's matches in Capital One Cup weren't exactly successful in terms of betting, but being Arsenal fan I can't say I didn't enjoy it, lol. The 7:5 win against Reading was probably one of the most extraordinary games of football I have ever seen in my life. I am literally speechless and I believe I won't forget this game ever.
As for the betting, the day wasn't that good. My bets on Arsenal were lost as also the one on Wigan covering a handicap. However, Leeds managed to beat Southampton which compensates some of the losses and it wasn't that bad after all.
For today I already have a bet on Chelsea (0AH), and I like two more bets with big odds and small stakes:
Pick 24
Event: Norwich - Tottenham
Pick: Draw (Norwich + 1EH)
Odds: 4.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Both teams are expected to field a weakened team for this match as most of Premier League teams do in the competition. I feel it will be a very close game and I can't really find some value in the more common markets. However, I believe Spurs will be able to just win it and I really like the odds for them doing so by one goal margin.
Pick 25
Event: Liverpool - Swansea
Pick: Liverpool - 2EH
Odds: 5.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Well, this bet is based on the improved performance of the Liverpool youngsters recently. They are showing some really good stuff and have been performing very well in the domestic cups for the past two years. Also, Swansea are clearly having issues in defense and that is why I believe they could get trashed here and a small bet on -2 EH is worth a shot.
Best of luck to every one :)
Yesterday's matches in Capital One Cup weren't exactly successful in terms of betting, but being Arsenal fan I can't say I didn't enjoy it, lol. The 7:5 win against Reading was probably one of the most extraordinary games of football I have ever seen in my life. I am literally speechless and I believe I won't forget this game ever.
| Theo showed he is worth a new contract. |
As for the betting, the day wasn't that good. My bets on Arsenal were lost as also the one on Wigan covering a handicap. However, Leeds managed to beat Southampton which compensates some of the losses and it wasn't that bad after all.
For today I already have a bet on Chelsea (0AH), and I like two more bets with big odds and small stakes:
Pick 24
Event: Norwich - Tottenham
Pick: Draw (Norwich + 1EH)
Odds: 4.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Both teams are expected to field a weakened team for this match as most of Premier League teams do in the competition. I feel it will be a very close game and I can't really find some value in the more common markets. However, I believe Spurs will be able to just win it and I really like the odds for them doing so by one goal margin.
Pick 25
Event: Liverpool - Swansea
Pick: Liverpool - 2EH
Odds: 5.00 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 2/10
Analysis: Well, this bet is based on the improved performance of the Liverpool youngsters recently. They are showing some really good stuff and have been performing very well in the domestic cups for the past two years. Also, Swansea are clearly having issues in defense and that is why I believe they could get trashed here and a small bet on -2 EH is worth a shot.
Best of luck to every one :)
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