Hi guys,
After the bad start in the weekend, yesterday was a much better day. As I expected, Arsenal outplayed Hull and won 2:0 which was probably the least they could get, but still enough to cover the handicap. My other bet looked lost at some point, but West Brom managed to score two late goals against City and it was void at the end. This means most of the loss is recovered and it is time to look forwards.
It is still early to bet on this week's games, but I want to take one bet right now, cause I am not sure if the odds will stay the same. Here we go:
Event: Manchester United - Newcastle
Pick: Newcastle + 1AH
Odds: 2.27 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10
Analysis: The most obvious reason for this one is the huge crisis in Manchester United. However, there is more to it than the bad shape of the team. Rooney will miss this game due to suspension and van Persie is doubtful and there are even rumors that he is has some kind of conflict with Moyes. What's certain for this game is that the pressure is on United, they will lack their best players and Newcastle are a team capable of taking something in this situation.
Showing posts with label newcastle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label newcastle. Show all posts
Thursday, December 5, 2013
Monday, December 3, 2012
Champions league picks and final Premier league prediction
Hi guys,
It wasn't the best weekend, cause Man City didn't do enough to win against Everton despite some late chances, but Southampton lost with just a single goal against Liverpool, so this meant a half win there returned some cash. As you have probably have seen in my last post, I was a little bit ahead from live betting too, so basically it was a break even weekend. It is now time to take a look at the last game in the Premier League and also the last group matches in the Champions League:
Pick 74
Event: Newcastle - Wigan Athletic
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.53 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: Newcastle are having a number of problems lately, mostly because of the huge amount of injuries in a very bad time of the season. They have lost four games in a row and they are now just 2 points above the relegation zone, so they desperately need points. However, they still will miss a number of players and Wigan are in a rather decent shape recently. This makes me think the draw here is very possible options. The hosts will really want to win this game and I expect them to be fully motivated, but with some key defenders and midfielders out, Wigan should be able to take a point here. Small stakes, since draws are very risky as always.
Pick 75
Event: Olympiacos - Arsenal
Pick: Olympiacos +0.25AH
Odds: 1.87 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: I don't like betting against my favorite team, but I just can't miss this one. Arsenal is in a terrible shape lately and most importantly, many of the players look jaded. In his post match interview at the weekend Wenger hinted he will probably rest some of his boys. This would be the logical choice considering the fact Arsenal is already qualified and their finishing position wouldn't make such a big difference for the knockouts when you look at the other groups.
This is it for now, but I believe there are some other possible bets in the CL and I will write another post about it tomorrow, good luck everyone :)
It wasn't the best weekend, cause Man City didn't do enough to win against Everton despite some late chances, but Southampton lost with just a single goal against Liverpool, so this meant a half win there returned some cash. As you have probably have seen in my last post, I was a little bit ahead from live betting too, so basically it was a break even weekend. It is now time to take a look at the last game in the Premier League and also the last group matches in the Champions League:
Pick 74
Event: Newcastle - Wigan Athletic
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.53 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: Newcastle are having a number of problems lately, mostly because of the huge amount of injuries in a very bad time of the season. They have lost four games in a row and they are now just 2 points above the relegation zone, so they desperately need points. However, they still will miss a number of players and Wigan are in a rather decent shape recently. This makes me think the draw here is very possible options. The hosts will really want to win this game and I expect them to be fully motivated, but with some key defenders and midfielders out, Wigan should be able to take a point here. Small stakes, since draws are very risky as always.
Pick 75
Event: Olympiacos - Arsenal
Pick: Olympiacos +0.25AH
Odds: 1.87 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: I don't like betting against my favorite team, but I just can't miss this one. Arsenal is in a terrible shape lately and most importantly, many of the players look jaded. In his post match interview at the weekend Wenger hinted he will probably rest some of his boys. This would be the logical choice considering the fact Arsenal is already qualified and their finishing position wouldn't make such a big difference for the knockouts when you look at the other groups.
This is it for now, but I believe there are some other possible bets in the CL and I will write another post about it tomorrow, good luck everyone :)
Thursday, November 22, 2012
Europa League betting tips, 22.10
Hello guys,
It is time for some Europa League betting tips for today, but before that I would like to make a short recap for Wednesday. It was a good day with both of my bets on Malaga and Arsenal winning, but I was somewhat disappointed, since I was strongly considering bets on Dortmund and Milan, but skipped them at the end. However, there was still a solid profit from the bets I actually made, so it was all good.
I looked deeply in today's games and I am struggling to find value in most of them due to various reasons, but still I think there are some good picks out there:
Pick 62
Event: Newcastle - Maritimo
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The two teams are on the opposite sides of the group standings with Newcastle leading and Maritimo at the bottom. Today the Geordies can secure qualification if they win the game, while the Portuguese side will go down in such a case. I think the hosts will win this one, but I don't like the odds, so instead I will try to go for unders cause of various reasons. First of all, Newcastle managed a clean sheet in both of their home games in Europe so far and that makes me think they will be able to do it again today. Also, Maritimo didn't manage to score in their first two away games and both of them finished unders (1:0 and 2:0). In addition to these stats Newcastle will be missing some players like Cabaye and Gutierez and that should harm their attacking potential.
Pick 63
Event: Hannover - Twente
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet (can be found at 2.10 at some bookie called "The Greek", but I don't know it and don't use it)
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the performance of the both teams so far, especially Hannover. They are just scoring for fun and conceding a lot too. In fact, they only have overs so far in the group, while Twente have just one under, so I think another goal fest might be on the line here.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
It is time for some Europa League betting tips for today, but before that I would like to make a short recap for Wednesday. It was a good day with both of my bets on Malaga and Arsenal winning, but I was somewhat disappointed, since I was strongly considering bets on Dortmund and Milan, but skipped them at the end. However, there was still a solid profit from the bets I actually made, so it was all good.
I looked deeply in today's games and I am struggling to find value in most of them due to various reasons, but still I think there are some good picks out there:
Pick 62
Event: Newcastle - Maritimo
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The two teams are on the opposite sides of the group standings with Newcastle leading and Maritimo at the bottom. Today the Geordies can secure qualification if they win the game, while the Portuguese side will go down in such a case. I think the hosts will win this one, but I don't like the odds, so instead I will try to go for unders cause of various reasons. First of all, Newcastle managed a clean sheet in both of their home games in Europe so far and that makes me think they will be able to do it again today. Also, Maritimo didn't manage to score in their first two away games and both of them finished unders (1:0 and 2:0). In addition to these stats Newcastle will be missing some players like Cabaye and Gutierez and that should harm their attacking potential.
 |
| Cabaye is out for the game. |
Pick 63
Event: Hannover - Twente
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet (can be found at 2.10 at some bookie called "The Greek", but I don't know it and don't use it)
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the performance of the both teams so far, especially Hannover. They are just scoring for fun and conceding a lot too. In fact, they only have overs so far in the group, while Twente have just one under, so I think another goal fest might be on the line here.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
Sunday, November 11, 2012
Premier league pick for Sunday
Hi guys,
Yesterday was a rather bad day and it was the first time I lost some cash betting on the Premier League. My Friday bets on Arsenal and Everton both lost, still the good thing was Stoke and West Brom managed to do the job, so the damage was not that big. I was also able to win a decent amount of cash with live bets on Man United - one for the to score the next goal when they were 2:0 down and one for the to win at 2:1, however, I am unable to post those in the blog, since it is hard to follow them. I have another bet for today though and it is once again for the English Premier league:
Pick 49
Event: Newcastle - West Ham
Pick: Newcastle -0.5 AH
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: Newcastle are improving recently and the win against a solid side like West Brom and the draw at Anfield against Liverpool are signs of it. They are very decent at home, while West Ham are just terrible away - they have only three wins in their last 41 away games in the Premier League. I think the Newcastle's offensive players will be more than capable to create a number of chances, however the hosts are missing some key man in the defensive area like Coloccini and Tiote, so I won't risk too much here. Medium sized bet on this one, since there are some concerns about Newcastle's defense.
I am also waiting for a Chelsea win today and the odds have dropped since my bet, so I think it was a good value. Good luck everyone :)
Yesterday was a rather bad day and it was the first time I lost some cash betting on the Premier League. My Friday bets on Arsenal and Everton both lost, still the good thing was Stoke and West Brom managed to do the job, so the damage was not that big. I was also able to win a decent amount of cash with live bets on Man United - one for the to score the next goal when they were 2:0 down and one for the to win at 2:1, however, I am unable to post those in the blog, since it is hard to follow them. I have another bet for today though and it is once again for the English Premier league:
Pick 49
Event: Newcastle - West Ham
Pick: Newcastle -0.5 AH
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: Newcastle are improving recently and the win against a solid side like West Brom and the draw at Anfield against Liverpool are signs of it. They are very decent at home, while West Ham are just terrible away - they have only three wins in their last 41 away games in the Premier League. I think the Newcastle's offensive players will be more than capable to create a number of chances, however the hosts are missing some key man in the defensive area like Coloccini and Tiote, so I won't risk too much here. Medium sized bet on this one, since there are some concerns about Newcastle's defense.
 |
| The skipper is suspended for this match. |
I am also waiting for a Chelsea win today and the odds have dropped since my bet, so I think it was a good value. Good luck everyone :)
Thursday, November 1, 2012
Bad day in Capital One Cup and an early weekend pick
Hi guys,
The last two days showed me once again why the League Cup, currently called Capital One Cup just can't be trusted. Both Arsenal and Chelsea managed to create plenty of chances, but at the end of the day terrible defending made them chasing results to the very end of their matches. They managed to win at the end, but it was after extra time and that didn't do any good to my bets. Elsewhere Tottenham and Liverpool were surprised by Norwich and Swansea, which made the days even worse. On the good side of things, I was cautious and my stakes were low, so there is no big harm done :) Enough with the Capital One Cup, I have an early bet for the week, and I am putting it so early, cause the odds seem unreal and I don't think they will last:
Pick 26
Event: Liverpool - Newcastle
Pick: Newcastle +1AH
Odds: 1.98 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, I don't have much to say about this game, besides that this is great value. I mean, seriously, almost 2.00 for Newcastle to draw or win, returning the bet if they lose with only one goal? This can't be serious, I think the odds will drop till the game, so go for it while it is there.
The last two days showed me once again why the League Cup, currently called Capital One Cup just can't be trusted. Both Arsenal and Chelsea managed to create plenty of chances, but at the end of the day terrible defending made them chasing results to the very end of their matches. They managed to win at the end, but it was after extra time and that didn't do any good to my bets. Elsewhere Tottenham and Liverpool were surprised by Norwich and Swansea, which made the days even worse. On the good side of things, I was cautious and my stakes were low, so there is no big harm done :) Enough with the Capital One Cup, I have an early bet for the week, and I am putting it so early, cause the odds seem unreal and I don't think they will last:
Pick 26
Event: Liverpool - Newcastle
Pick: Newcastle +1AH
Odds: 1.98 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, I don't have much to say about this game, besides that this is great value. I mean, seriously, almost 2.00 for Newcastle to draw or win, returning the bet if they lose with only one goal? This can't be serious, I think the odds will drop till the game, so go for it while it is there.
Sunday, October 28, 2012
Good Saturday and picks for Sunday
Hello guys,
The weekend started very well and I managed to land three out of four picks yesterday for a solid profit. As I expected the Arsenal - QPR game was very tight and the visitors tried a very negative tactics. They weren't many chances until late in the game and the home win with 1:0 was great for me both as a punter and an Arsenal supporter :) Elsewhere Reading and Fulham both score, actually three times each and Wigan and West Ham left it late, but still managed to cover the over 2.5 line. For today I have Bale to score (published in the blog on Friday), but I think there is value in two more picks:
Pick 16
Event: Newcastle - West Brom
Pick: Newcastle to win
Odds: 2.00 @ Will Hill
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Newcastle are improving their shape recently and have 3 wins from 3 games in Europe and also played very well in the derby against Sunderland last week. They will only miss the suspended Tiote, while West Brom are missing skipper Brunt and Reid. West Brom are unconvincing away from home with three draws and a heavy loss against Fulham, so I believe the host will be able to win here.
Pick 17
Event: Everton - Liverpool
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.73 @ Bet365
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: I expect a fierce derby of Merseyside and I wouldn't try to predict the outcome. Everton will miss Felainni and Pienaar, but still have a lot of fire power upfront and Liverpool are more stable recently. Skipper Gerrard normally plays his best games against Everton and ManU, and I expect the same today. I believe both teams will search for the victory and will manage to score goals.
The weekend started very well and I managed to land three out of four picks yesterday for a solid profit. As I expected the Arsenal - QPR game was very tight and the visitors tried a very negative tactics. They weren't many chances until late in the game and the home win with 1:0 was great for me both as a punter and an Arsenal supporter :) Elsewhere Reading and Fulham both score, actually three times each and Wigan and West Ham left it late, but still managed to cover the over 2.5 line. For today I have Bale to score (published in the blog on Friday), but I think there is value in two more picks:
Pick 16
Event: Newcastle - West Brom
Pick: Newcastle to win
Odds: 2.00 @ Will Hill
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Newcastle are improving their shape recently and have 3 wins from 3 games in Europe and also played very well in the derby against Sunderland last week. They will only miss the suspended Tiote, while West Brom are missing skipper Brunt and Reid. West Brom are unconvincing away from home with three draws and a heavy loss against Fulham, so I believe the host will be able to win here.
| Tiote is out after a reckless tackle against Sunderland. |
Pick 17
Event: Everton - Liverpool
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.73 @ Bet365
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: I expect a fierce derby of Merseyside and I wouldn't try to predict the outcome. Everton will miss Felainni and Pienaar, but still have a lot of fire power upfront and Liverpool are more stable recently. Skipper Gerrard normally plays his best games against Everton and ManU, and I expect the same today. I believe both teams will search for the victory and will manage to score goals.
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