Hi guys,
There is Capital One Cup game today between Leeds and Chelsea and although I think there is a good chance of a surprise, I probably will be betting live on this one. Instead, I think I found some good value in the DFB Pokal match between Dortmund and Hannover:
Pick 85
Event: Dortmund - Hannover
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 1.65 @ 188bet
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: I do not bet too often on German games, but I will make an exception for
this one. Dortmund are way too far behind Bayern in the League and the
CL is rather unrealistic target, so basically the Cup is their best
chance of winning a trophy this season. This makes me think they will
play their best team in the last game of the year and will score quite a
few goals against a Hannover team with a very suspect defense. The
visitors on the other side are also capable of scoring and don't forget
this is a cup tie - it doesn't manage with what goal difference you go
out, so there could be a lot of space towards the end of the game. I
think Dortmund will win it comfortably, but the odds for over 3 are good
and offer decent insurance, so I am on it.
Good luck everyone :)
Showing posts with label hannover. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hannover. Show all posts
Wednesday, December 19, 2012
Thursday, November 22, 2012
Europa League betting tips, 22.10
Hello guys,
It is time for some Europa League betting tips for today, but before that I would like to make a short recap for Wednesday. It was a good day with both of my bets on Malaga and Arsenal winning, but I was somewhat disappointed, since I was strongly considering bets on Dortmund and Milan, but skipped them at the end. However, there was still a solid profit from the bets I actually made, so it was all good.
I looked deeply in today's games and I am struggling to find value in most of them due to various reasons, but still I think there are some good picks out there:
Pick 62
Event: Newcastle - Maritimo
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The two teams are on the opposite sides of the group standings with Newcastle leading and Maritimo at the bottom. Today the Geordies can secure qualification if they win the game, while the Portuguese side will go down in such a case. I think the hosts will win this one, but I don't like the odds, so instead I will try to go for unders cause of various reasons. First of all, Newcastle managed a clean sheet in both of their home games in Europe so far and that makes me think they will be able to do it again today. Also, Maritimo didn't manage to score in their first two away games and both of them finished unders (1:0 and 2:0). In addition to these stats Newcastle will be missing some players like Cabaye and Gutierez and that should harm their attacking potential.
Pick 63
Event: Hannover - Twente
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet (can be found at 2.10 at some bookie called "The Greek", but I don't know it and don't use it)
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the performance of the both teams so far, especially Hannover. They are just scoring for fun and conceding a lot too. In fact, they only have overs so far in the group, while Twente have just one under, so I think another goal fest might be on the line here.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
It is time for some Europa League betting tips for today, but before that I would like to make a short recap for Wednesday. It was a good day with both of my bets on Malaga and Arsenal winning, but I was somewhat disappointed, since I was strongly considering bets on Dortmund and Milan, but skipped them at the end. However, there was still a solid profit from the bets I actually made, so it was all good.
I looked deeply in today's games and I am struggling to find value in most of them due to various reasons, but still I think there are some good picks out there:
Pick 62
Event: Newcastle - Maritimo
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The two teams are on the opposite sides of the group standings with Newcastle leading and Maritimo at the bottom. Today the Geordies can secure qualification if they win the game, while the Portuguese side will go down in such a case. I think the hosts will win this one, but I don't like the odds, so instead I will try to go for unders cause of various reasons. First of all, Newcastle managed a clean sheet in both of their home games in Europe so far and that makes me think they will be able to do it again today. Also, Maritimo didn't manage to score in their first two away games and both of them finished unders (1:0 and 2:0). In addition to these stats Newcastle will be missing some players like Cabaye and Gutierez and that should harm their attacking potential.
 |
| Cabaye is out for the game. |
Pick 63
Event: Hannover - Twente
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.04 @ 188bet (can be found at 2.10 at some bookie called "The Greek", but I don't know it and don't use it)
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the performance of the both teams so far, especially Hannover. They are just scoring for fun and conceding a lot too. In fact, they only have overs so far in the group, while Twente have just one under, so I think another goal fest might be on the line here.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Time for Europa League
Hi guys,
The first pick in this blog was successful and I hope this is a good sign :) Spartak and Benfica did the job in the first half and the bet on over 2.5 is a win. Today we will see what happens with the other CL picks, but now it is time for some Europa League. After taking a deep look at some stats and info about the games, here is what I find attractive as odds:
Pick 5
Event: Genk - Sporting Lisboa
Pick: Genk +0 AH
Odds: 1.91 @ Will Hill
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the shape of the two teams in both domestic and European competitions. Genk are unbeaten in a number of games and are doing very well especially at home. Sporting on the other hand got dumped from the Portuguese cup, got beaten by Porto and were also demolished by Videoton in the last round of Europa League. Obviously, they are not in their best shape and this is why I think the home side is the favorite here. I am taking the AH bet, since it is the safer option and the bet will be void in a case of a draw.
Pick 6
Event: Helsingborg - Hannover
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Both teams seem more than capable of scoring in both their domestic leagues and in Europe. The visitors managed to score twice in both of their first two games and also conceded at least a goal in five of their last six games. Helsingborg on the other hand manage to score at least a goal in most of their home games, so I expect them do it again here. This makes me think there will be some goals in this game and the odds in Pini look good value to me.
Pick 7
Event: Maribor - Tottenham
Pick: Maribor
Odds: 5.41 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: Well, this pick may seem strange to many, but I feel that the hosts can produce a surprise here. They are playing very well at home in European competitions and as most Eastern European teams they are highly motivated to perform well in this tournament. This is not the case with the English club, and although manager Villas Boas says it is important to him and also picks strong sides, the players attitude is different and the biggest proof is the stupid draw against a very weak Panathinaikos team. This is why I find the odds for a home win pretty good and I will give it a shot with a small stake.
While I was looking at the odds for Europa League I couldn't help to see the odds for Arsenal win today too and this is why I am adding another pick for CL here:
Pick 8
Event: Arsenal - Schalke
Pick: Arsenal to win
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: It is obvious that Schalke are in good shape, while Arsenal are having some issues currently, but still 2.15 seems too high. The Gunners are the better team in general, they play very well at home and they haven't lost there for ages (in CL of course) and they are much more experienced in the competition. I just don't feel the price is right here and that is why I am taking the bet.
This is it, good luck to everyone and don't hesitate to share your opinion :)
The first pick in this blog was successful and I hope this is a good sign :) Spartak and Benfica did the job in the first half and the bet on over 2.5 is a win. Today we will see what happens with the other CL picks, but now it is time for some Europa League. After taking a deep look at some stats and info about the games, here is what I find attractive as odds:
Pick 5
Event: Genk - Sporting Lisboa
Pick: Genk +0 AH
Odds: 1.91 @ Will Hill
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This bet is based purely on the shape of the two teams in both domestic and European competitions. Genk are unbeaten in a number of games and are doing very well especially at home. Sporting on the other hand got dumped from the Portuguese cup, got beaten by Porto and were also demolished by Videoton in the last round of Europa League. Obviously, they are not in their best shape and this is why I think the home side is the favorite here. I am taking the AH bet, since it is the safer option and the bet will be void in a case of a draw.
Pick 6
Event: Helsingborg - Hannover
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Both teams seem more than capable of scoring in both their domestic leagues and in Europe. The visitors managed to score twice in both of their first two games and also conceded at least a goal in five of their last six games. Helsingborg on the other hand manage to score at least a goal in most of their home games, so I expect them do it again here. This makes me think there will be some goals in this game and the odds in Pini look good value to me.
Pick 7
Event: Maribor - Tottenham
Pick: Maribor
Odds: 5.41 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: Well, this pick may seem strange to many, but I feel that the hosts can produce a surprise here. They are playing very well at home in European competitions and as most Eastern European teams they are highly motivated to perform well in this tournament. This is not the case with the English club, and although manager Villas Boas says it is important to him and also picks strong sides, the players attitude is different and the biggest proof is the stupid draw against a very weak Panathinaikos team. This is why I find the odds for a home win pretty good and I will give it a shot with a small stake.
 |
| Villas Boas is highly motivated, but what about his players? |
While I was looking at the odds for Europa League I couldn't help to see the odds for Arsenal win today too and this is why I am adding another pick for CL here:
Pick 8
Event: Arsenal - Schalke
Pick: Arsenal to win
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: It is obvious that Schalke are in good shape, while Arsenal are having some issues currently, but still 2.15 seems too high. The Gunners are the better team in general, they play very well at home and they haven't lost there for ages (in CL of course) and they are much more experienced in the competition. I just don't feel the price is right here and that is why I am taking the bet.
This is it, good luck to everyone and don't hesitate to share your opinion :)
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