Premier League Tips for the weekend

Hi guys,
As promised yesterday, I am starting to support the blog again and today I will post my first picks for this season. So, after some careful consideration, here are my suggestions:

Event: Aston Villa - Sunderland
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.15 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: If you look at the last few games of both teams, you will find mostly unders which probably explains the good odds for this match. However, I feel there is a perfectly reasonable explanation - Villa had issues with the fitness of the likes of Benteke and Agbonlahor, I think Weimann also wasn't fully fit and this caused them problems with scoring goals. I think they are fine now and this should mean more attacking strength for the home side. On the other hand, Sunderland are playing much better since Gus Poyet is their manager, but they suffered some bad luck with referee decisions which meant they had to play most of their games very tight with 10 men and hope to get something. Despite that, they've shown tremendous improvement in their style and are now passing the ball much better and creating some good chances. I think it is time for their bad luck to end and I expect that both teams will score today and one of them at least twice, which will be enough to cover the line I chose.


Event: Cardiff - Arsenal
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.06 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: I really like the spirit of the home side, they've shown they've got that battling mentality and also some good quality and I think they have a decent chance of surviving in the League. However, today they are facing a very strong Arsenal team that looks phenomenal this season. As you would expect, the odds for the Gunners are pretty low, so I think I will go for the unders here. Arsenal managed 4 clean sheets in their last 5 games - their defense is very solid, very drilled and Szczesny is probably the keeper in best form in the league right now. Considering the tough schedule with two games per week the EPL leaders are not afraid to rely on their defense and not put too much effort. Also, their away record is great and they really haven't conceded more than once away this season, which is a great achievement. This makes me think the Gunners will manage to win again with a clean sheet and the price for that is great.

The Pole in goal is great this season.

Event: West Ham - Fulham
Pick: Fulham +0 AH
Odds: 3.54 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10
Analysis: Many people will probably be surprised by this pick, since Fulham are one of the worst teams in the league this year. This is obviously true, but both of the team's wins came away from home and West Ham are probably the worst side at home and haven't won a game since the opening weekend. Also, this is one of the last chances of Martin Jol to save his job and this makes me think it will be a close game and the visitors might just nick it and the odds for the DNB are looking great to me.

Jol needs to win some points or he is finished.

Well, this is it for now guys. I wish you good luck and enjoy the Premier League this weekend :)

West Ham - Stoke and Sunday recap

Hi guys,
Yesterday wasn't the best day in terms of betting with one bet won and one lost, but the end result is a very tiny profit, so it was not that bad. The under at Fulham - Sunderland was looking good up to the beginning of the second half, when there were 3 goals scored in fifteen minutes and the the visitors added another one for a full loss. However, my expectations for a very slim winning margin in F1 were right and the end result for the day was positive.
Today is the last game in the Premier League and I think there is a bet I am willing to take:

Pick 57
Event: West Ham - Stoke
Pick: West Ham -0.5 AH
Odds: 2.08 @ Bet365
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: This is a clash between two very similar sides - strong at home and rather weak away, depending on long balls and embracing the physical aspect of the game. However, since the start of the season the Hammers are doing much better and they are lying 7th in the table, while Stoke seem to draw too many games which leaves them very close to the bottom. Besides the home advantage and the better shape since the start of the season, another important reason for this bet are the team news. The hosts will only miss the long term injured Vaz Te, while Stoke have a number of injured players, especially in midfield. Whitehead, Pennant and Delap continue to be sidelined, while Walters, Adam and Whelan are with minor injuries. They should be able to play though, but the lack of options and the fact the existing ones are not fully fit may cost the away side here. I like the odds for a home win and I think the Hammers will be able to win this game, not too convincingly though.

I am sure Pulis is worried about the injury list for this game.

So, this is it for today, guys, good luck everyone and expect some Champions League bets in the forthcoming days :)

Premier league pick for Sunday

Hi guys,
Yesterday was a rather bad day and it was the first time I lost some cash betting on the Premier League. My Friday bets on Arsenal and Everton both lost, still the good thing was Stoke and West Brom managed to do the job, so the damage was not that big. I was also able to win a decent amount of cash with live bets on Man United - one for the to score the next goal when they were 2:0 down and one for the to win at 2:1, however, I am unable to post those in the blog, since it is hard to follow them. I have another bet for today though and it is once again for the English Premier league:

Pick 49
Event: Newcastle - West Ham
Pick: Newcastle -0.5 AH
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: Newcastle are improving recently and the win against a solid side like West Brom and the draw at Anfield against Liverpool are signs of it. They are very decent at home, while West Ham are just terrible away - they have only three wins in their last 41 away games in the Premier League. I think the Newcastle's offensive players will be more than capable to create a number of chances, however the hosts are missing some key man in the defensive area like Coloccini and Tiote, so I won't risk too much here. Medium sized bet on this one, since there are some concerns about Newcastle's defense.

The skipper is suspended for this match.

I am also waiting for a Chelsea win today and the odds have dropped since my bet, so I think it was a good value. Good luck everyone :)

Premier League tips for 3-4th November

Hi guys,

After writing the first pick for the EPL weekend yesterday it is now time for a larger portion of bets :) Last weekend was phenomenal as I managed to hit 6/7 wins for a great profit and I really hope this one is good too. Here are my first few selections (the others will be posted tomorrow or on Sunday):

Pick 27
Event: Fulhan - Everton
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.43 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This one has both to score and overs written all over it - with Berbatov Fulham are scoring for fun, especially at home and most of their games since the start of the season are with both teams scoring. Same applies to Everton who managed to score in every single game from the start of the campaign except for the visit of West Brom, who were playing very well in defense in the first few games. With Pienaar back it looks like both teams have their best attacking players available and this should be a goal thriller. I was thinking about getting over 3.5, but this is the safer option and the odds are still great.

Pienaar is back to restore his partnership with Baynes.

Pick 28
Event: West Ham - Man City
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.67 @ Bet365
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Man City continue to concede goals, especially away from home and the champions still can't keep a clean sheet in their away games. I don't see them doing so against a very solid West Ham side, which is playing very well at Upton Park. Carrol was a great fit and is capable of producing chances for the midfield, which leads to a lot of goals, especially from the likes of Nolan. As for City's ability to score, I don't think anybody doubts that, so the odds for both to score seem pretty generous to me and I am going for it with full stake.


This is it for today, you can expect more from me in the following days, best of luck :)

Few more EPL bets

Hi guys,
I've done my Saturday routine, which includes breakfast and exploring odds for the EPL matchday and here are the picks I like:

Pick 14
Event: Reading - Fulham
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.62 @ Bet365 (offered by various bookies)
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Well, in this game both this are capable than scoring, but also their defenses are not very solid. All of Reading's home games this season were GG and most of Fulham's away games too. Both teams have most of their attacking players fit, so I can easily see them both scoring.


Pick 15
Event: Wigan - West Ham
Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Pretty much the same as the other game - Wigan tend to score some goals, but they also concede often. West Ham are normally capable of keeping a clean sheet, but that applies to their home games, away is a different story. I expect a lot of goals in this game and if you are more adventurous you can also try over 3.5.


Good luck and have a profitable day :)