Hi guys,
Unfortunately, the restart of the blog was pretty bad with all three bets losing. The Arsenal pick was quite accurate, but two late goals from the Gunners meant the bet is lost, while the other two were rather misjudged on my side. I really though Fulham will put an effort in order to save Martin Jol, but that was not the case and in spite of some good chances, there were no goals in the Villa game.
However, I am here for the long run profit, so 3 lost bets won't bring me down :) There is a good chance of making up this week with a bunch of matches, so here we go:
Event: Arsenal - Hull City
Pick: Arsenal -1.5 AH
Odds: 1.83 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: I rarely put 10/10, but I am quite shocked by the odds in this one. Arsenal are flying at the moment with both their defense and offense working very well. There are a number of players that can score and the defense managed 5 clean sheets in the last 6 games. On the other hand, despite a decent start of the season and recent win against Liverpool, Hull does not seem like a team that can stop the Gunners. The odds seem great, so this is my main bet for the day.
Event: West Brom - Man City
Pick: West Brom + 1 AH
Odds: 2.01 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: Once again, after a good victory at home bookies seem to think Man City will start winning away too. Well, I thought the same way after the huge win against ManU and a bunch of other great games at home, but the fact is City are not doing well away from Etihad. In fact, they lost a number of points away against weaker teams than West Brom. This is the reason why I believe the home side could take something from the game today and the odds for this line seem insane to me. The only reason why I am not putting 10 units here too is that I hate to make two max stake bets at the same time.
I really like some of the other games too, but I prefer to wait for the teams and add some live bets, since there might be some rotation today.
Best of luck :)
Showing posts with label Man City. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Man City. Show all posts
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Saturday, December 22, 2012
More Premier league tips
Hi guys,
I have two quick tips for the Premier League:
Event: Manchester City - Reading
Pick: City -2.5AH
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The line was covered in both of the last two Reading games against Sunderland and Arsenal. I really don't see a reason why the terrible run shouldn't continue here, especially considering the opponent. The terrible Reading defense could easilly concede a couple, while it will be pretty hard for them to score against City.
Event: Southampton - Sunderland
Pick: Saints -0.75AH
Odds: 2.33 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: The Saints found their shape and are on a decent run recently, especially at home. They are unbeaten for 4 games, two of which are victories, On the other hand, Sunderland are not very good since the start of the season and are not doing well away from home. The only important miss is Lallana, but I feel the hosts could win this one with more than a goal.
This is it, gl all :)
I have two quick tips for the Premier League:
Event: Manchester City - Reading
Pick: City -2.5AH
Odds: 2.02 @ 188bet
Stake: 5/10
Analysis: The line was covered in both of the last two Reading games against Sunderland and Arsenal. I really don't see a reason why the terrible run shouldn't continue here, especially considering the opponent. The terrible Reading defense could easilly concede a couple, while it will be pretty hard for them to score against City.
Event: Southampton - Sunderland
Pick: Saints -0.75AH
Odds: 2.33 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7/10
Analysis: The Saints found their shape and are on a decent run recently, especially at home. They are unbeaten for 4 games, two of which are victories, On the other hand, Sunderland are not very good since the start of the season and are not doing well away from home. The only important miss is Lallana, but I feel the hosts could win this one with more than a goal.
This is it, gl all :)
Friday, November 30, 2012
English Premier League picks - 01.12
Hi guys,
Once again my rather bad streak recently continued on Wednesday. Everyone expected West Brom to fail at some point, but the way they were beaten against Swansea was kinda surprising. Also, I obviously underestimated Benitez as he managed to transform Chelsea for a very short time and now they seem very dull, but steady at the back. Still, the Saints and Norwich drew their game, which returned some money back. Bad day in general, but now the weekend is coming and there is a good chance to win some cash. Here are my tips for the forthcoming Premier League games:
Pick 72
Event: Liverpool - Southampton
Pick: Southampton +1.25 AH
Odds: 1.98 @ 188bet
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Despite the fact there is some progress in Liverpool, the Reds still have lots of problems and generally are not playing too well. They've managed to win by more than one goal just twice since the start of the season and they have a number of draws and narrows wins at home for a third consecutive season. On the other hand, the visitors are in a good shape currently and haven't lost 4 games in a roll in the league. I think they might get a point here, but even if they don't I feel they won't get beaten too convincingly and this line could return half win.
Pick 73
Event: Manchester City - Everton
Pick: Manchester City -1AH
Odds: 1.91 @ 188bet
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: I think the key for this bet is squad depth. This is a third game for both teams inside a week, so there will be some tired legs and the team with more freshness will have a big advantage. I don't think there is any doubt who that is and the strong home form and much longer bench City are the clear favorite here. As for Everton - they look very tired in the last 20 minutes against Arsenal on Wednesday and for this game they surely miss skipper Neville, while the likes of Baynes, Miralas and Coleman are carrying a knocks and are not 100% sure for the game. This makes me think the value is on City, especially considering the fact they started keeping clean sheets recently and their defense starts to look as solid as last year.
This is it for now, but I might add another bet for Saturday later today or tomorrow and I will probably have some Sunday picks too, so stay tuned. Good luck!
Once again my rather bad streak recently continued on Wednesday. Everyone expected West Brom to fail at some point, but the way they were beaten against Swansea was kinda surprising. Also, I obviously underestimated Benitez as he managed to transform Chelsea for a very short time and now they seem very dull, but steady at the back. Still, the Saints and Norwich drew their game, which returned some money back. Bad day in general, but now the weekend is coming and there is a good chance to win some cash. Here are my tips for the forthcoming Premier League games:
Pick 72
Event: Liverpool - Southampton
Pick: Southampton +1.25 AH
Odds: 1.98 @ 188bet
Stake: 6/10
Analysis: Despite the fact there is some progress in Liverpool, the Reds still have lots of problems and generally are not playing too well. They've managed to win by more than one goal just twice since the start of the season and they have a number of draws and narrows wins at home for a third consecutive season. On the other hand, the visitors are in a good shape currently and haven't lost 4 games in a roll in the league. I think they might get a point here, but even if they don't I feel they won't get beaten too convincingly and this line could return half win.
Pick 73
Event: Manchester City - Everton
Pick: Manchester City -1AH
Odds: 1.91 @ 188bet
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: I think the key for this bet is squad depth. This is a third game for both teams inside a week, so there will be some tired legs and the team with more freshness will have a big advantage. I don't think there is any doubt who that is and the strong home form and much longer bench City are the clear favorite here. As for Everton - they look very tired in the last 20 minutes against Arsenal on Wednesday and for this game they surely miss skipper Neville, while the likes of Baynes, Miralas and Coleman are carrying a knocks and are not 100% sure for the game. This makes me think the value is on City, especially considering the fact they started keeping clean sheets recently and their defense starts to look as solid as last year.
This is it for now, but I might add another bet for Saturday later today or tomorrow and I will probably have some Sunday picks too, so stay tuned. Good luck!
Friday, November 2, 2012
Premier League tips for 3-4th November
Hi guys,
After writing the first pick for the EPL weekend yesterday it is now time for a larger portion of bets :) Last weekend was phenomenal as I managed to hit 6/7 wins for a great profit and I really hope this one is good too. Here are my first few selections (the others will be posted tomorrow or on Sunday):
Pick 27
Event: Fulhan - Everton
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.43 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This one has both to score and overs written all over it - with Berbatov Fulham are scoring for fun, especially at home and most of their games since the start of the season are with both teams scoring. Same applies to Everton who managed to score in every single game from the start of the campaign except for the visit of West Brom, who were playing very well in defense in the first few games. With Pienaar back it looks like both teams have their best attacking players available and this should be a goal thriller. I was thinking about getting over 3.5, but this is the safer option and the odds are still great.
Pick 28
Event: West Ham - Man City
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.67 @ Bet365
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Man City continue to concede goals, especially away from home and the champions still can't keep a clean sheet in their away games. I don't see them doing so against a very solid West Ham side, which is playing very well at Upton Park. Carrol was a great fit and is capable of producing chances for the midfield, which leads to a lot of goals, especially from the likes of Nolan. As for City's ability to score, I don't think anybody doubts that, so the odds for both to score seem pretty generous to me and I am going for it with full stake.
This is it for today, you can expect more from me in the following days, best of luck :)
After writing the first pick for the EPL weekend yesterday it is now time for a larger portion of bets :) Last weekend was phenomenal as I managed to hit 6/7 wins for a great profit and I really hope this one is good too. Here are my first few selections (the others will be posted tomorrow or on Sunday):
Pick 27
Event: Fulhan - Everton
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.43 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: This one has both to score and overs written all over it - with Berbatov Fulham are scoring for fun, especially at home and most of their games since the start of the season are with both teams scoring. Same applies to Everton who managed to score in every single game from the start of the campaign except for the visit of West Brom, who were playing very well in defense in the first few games. With Pienaar back it looks like both teams have their best attacking players available and this should be a goal thriller. I was thinking about getting over 3.5, but this is the safer option and the odds are still great.
| Pienaar is back to restore his partnership with Baynes. |
Pick 28
Event: West Ham - Man City
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.67 @ Bet365
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Man City continue to concede goals, especially away from home and the champions still can't keep a clean sheet in their away games. I don't see them doing so against a very solid West Ham side, which is playing very well at Upton Park. Carrol was a great fit and is capable of producing chances for the midfield, which leads to a lot of goals, especially from the likes of Nolan. As for City's ability to score, I don't think anybody doubts that, so the odds for both to score seem pretty generous to me and I am going for it with full stake.
This is it for today, you can expect more from me in the following days, best of luck :)
Thursday, October 25, 2012
CL recap and two more picks for Europa League
Hello guys,
The second day of the Champions League competition wasn't very good with two picks lost and one won. PSG did the job and won 2:0 which made a decent profit, but Arsenal and City both lost their matches and the end result of the first four picks is a small profit. I probably shouldn't have bet on Arsenal, but their home record in Europe mislead me. As for City, clearly they are currently just a domestic side, very surprising considering the amount of world class players they have though.
I hope for a better luck today with Europa League and I have two more picks for the competition:
Pick 9
Event: Atletico Madrid - Academica
Pick: Atletico to win to nil
Odds: 1.83 @ SkyBet
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Everybody expect the very solid Atletico to win at home against Academica and I think the same. However, the odds for that are quite low and are not worth the shot imo. On the other hand, the solid defense of the Spaniards recently makes me think they should be able to keep a clean sheet and is the reason I am taking the 1.83 for a win to nil at SkyBet. Academica have scored in most of their recent games, but still they haven't faced such a good team as Atletico and that makes me think the hosts should be able to do the job.
Pick 10
Event: Inter Milan - Partizan
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.12 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: I feel Partizan will go to Italy and try to get a point with deep defense. The Italians are not doing very well upfront and I don't think they will be able to cover the line themselves and Partizan are also rather weak. My only concern is an early goal, but hopefully there won't be any, so I will try this bet.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
The second day of the Champions League competition wasn't very good with two picks lost and one won. PSG did the job and won 2:0 which made a decent profit, but Arsenal and City both lost their matches and the end result of the first four picks is a small profit. I probably shouldn't have bet on Arsenal, but their home record in Europe mislead me. As for City, clearly they are currently just a domestic side, very surprising considering the amount of world class players they have though.
I hope for a better luck today with Europa League and I have two more picks for the competition:
Pick 9
Event: Atletico Madrid - Academica
Pick: Atletico to win to nil
Odds: 1.83 @ SkyBet
Stake: 10/10
Analysis: Everybody expect the very solid Atletico to win at home against Academica and I think the same. However, the odds for that are quite low and are not worth the shot imo. On the other hand, the solid defense of the Spaniards recently makes me think they should be able to keep a clean sheet and is the reason I am taking the 1.83 for a win to nil at SkyBet. Academica have scored in most of their recent games, but still they haven't faced such a good team as Atletico and that makes me think the hosts should be able to do the job.
| The man is flying, but I hope the defense does the job tonight. |
Pick 10
Event: Inter Milan - Partizan
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.12 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10
Analysis: I feel Partizan will go to Italy and try to get a point with deep defense. The Italians are not doing very well upfront and I don't think they will be able to cover the line themselves and Partizan are also rather weak. My only concern is an early goal, but hopefully there won't be any, so I will try this bet.
This is it for today, good luck everyone :)
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